Source
The a16z Show — Why a16z is Building a New School for the AI Era | Ben Horowitz (September 22, 2026) ·
at 5:02 ▸
When this applies
when a technological or structural shift is as large as a prior epoch-defining shift, and the existing training/institutional system was built for the old epoch
The takeaway
When the scale of change rivals a past epochal shift, assume existing training/institutional systems need redesign rather than incremental tweaking, and look for someone to 'pioneer' the new model.
Why it works
Institutions calcify around the needs of the era that created them; when the underlying economic/technological base shifts dramatically, the old institutional design no longer maps cleanly onto the new requirements.
One level up
Big technological discontinuities demand new institutions built for the new mode of work, not retrofits of institutions built for the prior mode.
Where it stops holding
This stops working when the change, despite feeling large, doesn't actually alter the fundamental skills or work structures needed, making the old institutions still largely adequate.
Detail
approach: Trace the historical origin of the current institution to the economic epoch that created it, then ask whether the new epoch's requirements for labor/skills differ enough to warrant redesign.
signals:- The institution's structure obviously reflects a past era's needs (e.g., lecture-heavy, time-boxed instruction built for an age without personalized tools).
- The scale of the technological shift is comparable to a prior transformational era (agricultural->industrial).
- No existing institution has successfully adapted; a 'pioneer' is needed to show the way.
rationale: The university boomed to train people for the corporate/industrial world; AI represents an equally large shift, so training needs equally large redesign.
In their words
But we're hitting the AI revolution now, which is going to be, in our estimation, as transformational in terms of jobs, the way jobs are done, the kinds of jobs that are available and so forth, as the Industrial Revolution was to the agricultural kind of society that came before it.