Source
When this applies
when evaluating whether a platform shift (e.g., social media, aggregators) is a threat or opportunity for your business
The takeaway
A disruptive distribution platform's impact flips sign depending on whether your cost structure can survive on a fractured, niche audience.
Why it works
Social media devastates old publishers with high cost structures that depend on scaled pageviews, but it's a 'godsend' for low-cost-structure niche creators because it gives their *readers* a platform to publicize the creator for free, rather than competing with the creator's own platform.
One level up
The same structural shift in an industry simultaneously destroys incumbents and enables new entrants, depending on their cost structure.
Where it stops holding
This stops working when your content truly requires broad reach to cross a scale threshold, or when social platforms stop surfacing links at all (as Thompson notes happened later with Twitter deprioritizing links).
Detail
rule: If you have a new, low-cost-structure business model, treat social media virality as free marketing rather than a threat.
threshold: n/a
rationale: Publishers bemoan social media, but those are publishers with old business models. If you have a new business model with a very low cost structure, social media is a godsend because you basically get free marketing.
In their words
Publishers bemoan social media, but those are publishers with old business models. If you have a new business model with a very low cost structure, social media is a godsend because you basically get free marketing.